Document History

Original Publish Date: 23 June, 2020

Updated on: 27 April, 2021

In this post we analyse the political characteristics of the family politicians using the TCPD elections data. We use elections data starting from 1974 to 2019. Throughout the entire post we are just using taking the plain mean of all the variables.

Summary

The break-up of the sample data can be sen here

Summary of the data
election_type Family Non-family
AE 0.1 0.9
GE 0.2 0.8

Margin of Victory

Margin of victory wrt Politicians identity
election_type Family Non-family
AE 10.7 11.4
GE 16.0 14.9

Turnout

Turnout percentage wrt Politicians identity
election_type Family Non-family
AE 55.6 51
GE 53.0 52
Turnout percentage wrt contest type
election_type fam v/s fam fam v/s non-fam non-fam v/s fam non-fam v/s non-fam
AE 57.8 55.1 56.0 50.5
GE 54.3 52.7 54.5 51.6

Effective number of parties

Effective number of parties wrt Politicians identity
election_type Family Non-family
AE 3.6 3.7
GE 3.2 3.3

Number of candidates

Number of candidates wrt Politicians identity
election_type Family Non-family
AE 14.7 14.3
GE 17.8 15.4

Turncoat

Turncoats proportion wrt Politicians identity
election_type Family Non-family
AE 0.17 0.24
GE 0.12 0.19

Same party

Party retention wrt Politicians identity
election_type Family Non-family
AE 0.61 0.47
GE 0.77 0.63

Incumbent

Proportion of incumbents wrt Politicians identity
election_type Family Non-family
AE 0.24 0.22
GE 0.46 0.27

Recontest

Proportion of recontestants wrt Politicians identity
election_type Family Non-family
AE 0.45 0.44
GE 0.65 0.47

Number of terms

Number of terms wrt Politicians identity
election_type Family Non-family
AE 1.7 1.6
GE 2.4 1.8

Constituency type

Constituency type wrt Politicians identity
election_type constituency_type Family Non-family
AE GEN 0.88 0.77
AE SC 0.12 0.23
GE GEN 0.89 0.77
GE SC 0.11 0.23

Raphael

Vote dispersion

Raphael’s booth level data is available for the last 3 UP assembly elections. We use the booth level voting data to see the spread of the vote share.

Vote dispersion at booth level wrt Politicians identity
Politician’s Identity Variance
Family 352
Non-family 341
Vote dispersion at booth level wrt Politicians identity
Politician’s Identity SD
Family 18.5
Non-family 18.2