• Regressions
    • AE All
    • AE GE all
    • AE 2012 -17
    • GE 2009:19
    • AE-GE (2009:19)
    • Night lights

Document History

Original Publish Date: 16 July, 2020

Updated on: 14 May, 2021

Regressions

AE All

Summary of the AE all contestants unique data
Measure Family Political diversification Minister duration(Months) Economic diversification Land ownership(deciles) Elections won
Length 4281.00 4281.00 4281.00 4281.00 4281.00 4281.00
Unique-N 2.00 2.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00
Mean 0.07 0.11 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00
SD 0.26 0.31 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41
Min 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Max 1.00 1.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00
Regression Results - AE All
fit.1
Dependent Var.: Family
Economic diversification 0.2603*** (0.0436)
Land ownership 0.1093** (0.0403)
Number of elections won -0.1155*** (0.0321)
Political diversification 0.9139*** (0.0958)
Minister duration 0.2043*** (0.0317)
Caste_uc 0.0664 (0.1694)
Caste_yadav 0.2169 (0.2232)
Caste_non_yadav_obc 0.0340 (0.1906)
Caste_dalit -0.0911 (0.1803)
Caste_muslim 0.3428. (0.2072)
Caste control Yes
Fixed-Effects: ——————-
district Yes
year Yes
_________________________ ___________________
S.E.: Clustered by: district
Observations 4,138
Squared Cor. 0.28673
Pseudo R2 0.37250
BIC 2,142.1
Regression Results - AE All
fit.2
Dependent Var.: Political diversification
Economic diversification 0.2845*** (0.0392)
Land ownership 0.0459 (0.0366)
Number of elections won 0.0129 (0.0211)
Minister duration 0.2034*** (0.0270)
Caste_uc 0.0360 (0.1325)
Caste_yadav 0.1090 (0.1895)
Caste_non_yadav_obc 0.0228 (0.1485)
Caste_dalit -0.0275 (0.1378)
Caste_muslim 0.1180 (0.1499)
Caste control Yes
Fixed-Effects: ————————-
district Yes
year Yes
________________________ _________________________
S.E.: Clustered by: district
Observations 4,281
Squared Cor. 0.16265
Pseudo R2 0.21040
BIC 3,157.0
Elections won - AE All
fit.3
Dependent Var.: won_elections
Economic diversification 0.1820*** (0.0154)
Land ownership 0.1044*** (0.0150)
Political diversification 0.6902*** (0.0328)
Minister duration 0.1889*** (0.0100)
Caste_uc 0.1757** (0.0542)
Caste_yadav 0.3857*** (0.0688)
Caste_non_yadav_obc 0.2089*** (0.0618)
Caste_dalit 0.2339*** (0.0579)
Caste_muslim 0.0623 (0.0640)
(Intercept) -2.132*** (0.0682)
post_90 0.7278*** (0.0369)
Caste control Yes
_________________________ __________________
S.E. type Standard
Observations 4,281
Squared Cor. 0.36844
Pseudo R2 0.18329
BIC 11,645.3

AE GE all

Summary of the AE GE all contestants unique data
Measure Family Political diversification Minister duration(Months) Economic diversification Land ownership(Deciles) Elections won
Length 4867.00 4867.00 4867.00 4867.00 4867.00 4867.00
Unique-N 2.00 2.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00
Mean 0.07 0.03 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00
SD 0.25 0.18 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41
Min 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Max 1.00 1.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00
Regression Results - AE All
fit.1
Dependent Var.: Family
Economic diversification 0.2665*** (0.0347)
Land ownership 0.1193** (0.0380)
Number of elections won -0.0671* (0.0268)
Minister duration 0.2266*** (0.0302)
Caste_uc -0.0380 (0.1506)
Caste_yadav 0.1260 (0.2269)
Caste_non_yadav_obc -0.1428 (0.2027)
Caste_dalit -0.2366 (0.1654)
Caste_muslim 0.2410 (0.2111)
linkage_down 0.3556** (0.1376)
Caste control Yes
Fixed-Effects: ——————
district Yes
year Yes
________________________ __________________
S.E.: Clustered by: district
Observations 3,886
Squared Cor. 0.22486
Pseudo R2 0.30520
BIC 2,311.5
Regression Results - AE All
fit.2
Dependent Var.: linkage_down
Economic diversification 0.1956*** (0.0510)
Land ownership -0.0012 (0.0484)
Number of elections won 0.0342 (0.0348)
Minister duration 0.0631 (0.0482)
Caste_uc 0.7944* (0.3386)
Caste_yadav 0.9099* (0.3872)
Caste_non_yadav_obc 0.5274 (0.3538)
Caste_dalit 0.5699 (0.3568)
Caste_muslim 0.5215 (0.4130)
Caste control Yes
Fixed-Effects: ——————
district Yes
year Yes
________________________ __________________
S.E.: Clustered by: district
Observations 3,342
Squared Cor. 0.09867
Pseudo R2 0.21654
BIC 1,738.1
Elections won - AE and GE All
fit.3
Dependent Var.: won_elections
Economic diversification 0.1681*** (0.0139)
Land ownership 0.1527*** (0.0138)
Minister duration 0.2064*** (0.0097)
Caste_uc 0.2124*** (0.0512)
Caste_yadav 0.4064*** (0.0659)
Caste_non_yadav_obc 0.2312*** (0.0580)
Caste_dalit 0.2643*** (0.0548)
Caste_muslim 0.1148. (0.0609)
(Intercept) -2.387*** (0.0660)
linkage_down 0.3454*** (0.0515)
post_90 0.9223*** (0.0365)
Caste control Yes
________________________ __________________
S.E. type Standard
Observations 4,867
Squared Cor. 0.28068
Pseudo R2 0.14819
BIC 13,568.8

AE 2012 -17

Summary of the AE GE all contestants unique data
Measure Family Political diversification Minister duration(Months) Economic diversification Land ownership(Deciles) Elections won Total assets Serious crime Turncoat Winner Vote share
Length 1188.00 1188.00 1188.00 1188.00 1188.00 1188.00 1188.00 1188.0 1188.00 1188.00 1188.00
Unique-N 2.00 2.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 6.00 2.0 2.00 2.00 997.00
Mean 0.17 0.18 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.2 0.13 0.47 33.88
SD 0.38 0.39 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.42 0.4 0.34 0.50 9.07
Min 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 14.12
Max 1.00 1.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 1.0 1.00 1.00 67.95
Regression Results - AE 2012-17
fit.1
Dependent Var.: Family
Economic diversification 0.2124*** (0.0508)
Land ownership 0.0737. (0.0398)
Number of elections won 0.0617 (0.0451)
Political diversification 1.030*** (0.1291)
Minister duration 0.2231*** (0.0483)
Serious crime -0.5158*** (0.1403)
Caste_uc 0.2601 (0.3174)
Caste_yadav 0.5640 (0.3977)
Caste_non_yadav_obc 0.4097 (0.3714)
Caste_dalit 0.3103 (0.3370)
Caste_muslim 0.7037. (0.3909)
log(total_assets) 0.0178 (0.1244)
turncoat 0.0146 (0.1983)
Caste control Yes
Fixed-Effects: ——————-
district Yes
year Yes
_________________________ ___________________
S.E.: Clustered by: district
Observations 1,088
Squared Cor. 0.30777
Pseudo R2 0.30015
BIC 1,306.2
Regression Results - AE 2012-17
fit.2
Dependent Var.: winner
Economic diversification -0.0392 (0.0420)
Land ownership 0.0024 (0.0391)
Number of elections won 0.4871*** (0.0451)
Political diversification 0.1036 (0.1514)
Minister duration -0.2242*** (0.0525)
Family -0.1159 (0.1542)
Serious crime -0.1087 (0.0996)
Caste_uc 0.3640. (0.1893)
Caste_yadav -0.0785 (0.2568)
Caste_non_yadav_obc 0.2581 (0.1857)
Caste_dalit 0.0838 (0.1683)
Caste_muslim -0.2816 (0.2061)
log(total_assets) -0.1444 (0.0891)
turncoat 0.0780 (0.1347)
Caste control Yes
Fixed-Effects: ——————-
district Yes
year Yes
_________________________ ___________________
S.E.: Clustered by: district
Observations 1,171
Squared Cor. 0.22607
Pseudo R2 0.17451
BIC 1,972.8
Regression Results - AE 2012:17
Dependent variable:
Vote Share Percentage
minister_duration -0.690***
(0.227)
industry -0.190
(0.234)
land 0.380*
(0.205)
n_elections_w 2.054***
(0.218)
log(total_assets) -1.231**
(0.509)
serious_crime 0.324
(0.613)
turncoat 0.651
(0.678)
dynast -0.694
(0.640)
linkage 0.129
(0.842)
Constituency fixed effects Yes
Observations 1,171
R2 0.283
Adjusted R2 0.224
Residual Std. Error 7.990 (df = 1081)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

GE 2009:19

Summary of the GE 2009:19 contestants unique data
Measure Family Political diversification Minister duration(Months) Economic diversification Land ownership(Deciles) Elections won Total assets Serious crime Turncoat Winner Vote share
Length 317.00 317.00 317.00 317.00 317.00 317.00 317.00 317.00 317.00 317.00 317.00
Unique-N 2.00 2.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 309.00
Mean 0.24 0.09 2.99 2.99 2.99 2.99 2.99 0.35 0.10 0.43 37.67
SD 0.43 0.29 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 1.42 0.48 0.31 0.50 11.46
Min 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.54
Max 1.00 1.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 64.32
Regression Results - AE All
fit.1
Dependent Var.: Family
Economic diversification 0.3836* (0.1628)
Land ownership 0.1843 (0.1691)
Number of elections won 0.4028** (0.1464)
Minister duration 0.4091** (0.1491)
Serious crime 0.3533 (0.3505)
Caste_uc 0.3279 (0.9377)
Caste_yadav -0.9182 (1.089)
Caste_non_yadav_obc -0.2983 (0.9122)
Caste_dalit -1.146 (0.9077)
Caste_muslim 0.1699 (0.9913)
linkage_down 1.922*** (0.5733)
log(total_assets) 0.6710. (0.3588)
turncoat 0.0527 (0.4435)
Caste control Yes
Fixed-Effects: —————–
pc Yes
year Yes
________________________ _________________
S.E.: Clustered by: pc
Observations 235
Squared Cor. 0.41407
Pseudo R2 0.37736
BIC 587.27
Regression Results - AE All
fit.2
Dependent Var.: winner
Economic diversification -0.1731. (0.0999)
Land ownership 0.1662. (0.0982)
Number of elections won -0.0076 (0.1044)
Minister duration -0.1960. (0.1055)
Family 0.4521 (0.2815)
Serious crime 0.0090 (0.2176)
Caste_uc 0.1244 (0.4755)
Caste_yadav -1.232 (0.7509)
Caste_non_yadav_obc -0.1700 (0.5255)
Caste_dalit 0.9947* (0.4520)
Caste_muslim -0.9752. (0.5856)
log(total_assets) -0.1383 (0.2213)
turncoat 0.8996* (0.4222)
linkage_down -0.4671 (0.3800)
Caste control Yes
Fixed-Effects: —————–
pc Yes
year Yes
________________________ _________________
S.E.: Clustered by: pc
Observations 310
Squared Cor. 0.21042
Pseudo R2 0.17326
BIC 889.81
Regression Results - GE 2009:19
Dependent variable:
Dynast
minister_duration -0.037
(0.610)
industry -0.375
(0.643)
land 0.578
(0.579)
n_elections_w -0.145
(0.667)
log(total_assets) -0.476
(1.001)
serious_crime 1.115
(1.135)
turncoat 0.952
(1.904)
dynast 3.151**
(1.577)
linkage_down 0.095
(2.105)
Constituency fixed effects Yes
Observations 317
R2 0.522
Adjusted R2 0.314
Residual Std. Error 9.489 (df = 220)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

AE-GE (2009:19)

Summary of the AE-GE 2009:19 contestants unique data
Measure Family Political diversification Minister duration(Months) Economic diversification Land ownership(Deciles) Elections won Total assets Serious crime Turncoat Winner Vote share
Length 1388.00 1388.00 1388.00 1388.00 1388.00 1388.00 1388 1388.00 1388.00 1388.00 1388.00
Unique-N 2.00 2.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 1388 15.00 2.00 2.00 1162.00
Mean 0.17 0.09 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 64562634 0.76 0.13 0.46 34.87
SD 0.37 0.28 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 236115772 1.96 0.33 0.50 9.81
Min 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 128000 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.12
Max 1.00 1.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 6321566925 23.00 1.00 1.00 67.95
Regression Results - AE All
fit.1
Dependent Var.: Family
Economic diversification 0.2667*** (0.0800)
Land ownership 0.1990* (0.0820)
Number of elections won 0.3840*** (0.0862)
Minister duration 0.3552** (0.1114)
Caste_uc 0.2184 (0.4318)
Caste_yadav 0.1224 (0.5712)
Caste_non_yadav_obc 0.2081 (0.4538)
Caste_dalit -0.1691 (0.5715)
Caste_muslim 0.8494. (0.5044)
linkage_down 0.4657 (0.2997)
log(total_assets) 0.1385. (0.0788)
serious_crime 0.0319 (0.0836)
non_serious_crime -0.0219 (0.0486)
turncoat 0.1586 (0.2987)
Caste control Yes
Fixed-Effects: ——————
constituency Yes
year Yes
________________________ __________________
S.E.: Clustered by: constituency
Observations 693
Squared Cor. 0.46020
Pseudo R2 0.40540
BIC 1,848.5
Regression Results - AE All
fit.3
Dependent Var.: Political diversification
Economic diversification 0.1508* (0.0612)
Land ownership 0.1277. (0.0693)
Number of elections won 0.3493*** (0.0692)
Minister duration 0.2710** (0.0926)
Caste_uc 0.4742 (0.3367)
Caste_yadav 0.8862* (0.4166)
Caste_non_yadav_obc 0.1563 (0.3641)
Caste_dalit 0.0438 (0.4044)
Caste_muslim 0.4451 (0.4061)
log(total_assets) 0.0820 (0.0601)
serious_crime 0.0341 (0.0276)
turncoat 0.0929 (0.2465)
Caste control Yes
Fixed-Effects: ————————-
constituency Yes
year Yes
________________________ _________________________
S.E.: Clustered by: constituency
Observations 743
Squared Cor. 0.35754
Pseudo R2 0.30586
BIC 2,063.6
Regression Results - AE GE 2009:19
Dependent variable:
Vote Share Percentage
caste_uc 1.487
(0.880)
caste_yadav -1.549
(1.263)
caste_non_yadav_obc 0.973
(0.714)
caste_dalit 1.401
(1.550)
caste_muslim -3.831*
(1.597)
minister_duration 0.205
(0.131)
industry 0.222
(0.187)
land 0.493
(0.324)
n_elections_w -0.196
(0.141)
log(total_assets) -0.178
(0.165)
serious_crime 0.331***
(0.061)
turncoat 0.601
(0.630)
dynast 0.420
(1.180)
linkage_down -0.570
(0.330)
election_typeGE
(0.000)
Observations 1,388
R2 0.388
Adjusted R2 0.101
Residual Std. Error 9.295 (df = 945)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

Night lights

Regression Results - UP Night lights - Dynast 2
Dependent variable:
term_growth
dyn_cum_2 -21.691
(16.057)
sexM 4.282
(13.666)
constituency_typeSC -14.061
(15.087)
turnout_percentage 2.981*
(1.666)
enop 9.282
(7.878)
term_duration 5.618
(6.339)
incumbent -48.011
(49.729)
margin_percentage -0.446
(1.011)
no_terms 12.475
(16.810)
Year fixed effects Yes
District fixed effects Yes
SE clustering District level
Observations 1,572
R2 0.080
Adjusted R2 0.026
Residual Std. Error 347.419 (df = 1485)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01