Document History

Original Publish Date: 27 July, 2020

Updated on: 12:07 PM – 14 July, 2021

GE 2019

summary

dynast Vote_Share Margin_ N_cand enop Turnout Incumbent Recontest Contests
0 35.53 19.19 15.53 2.53 69.05 0.22 0.37 2.13
1 41.12 22.00 16.85 2.48 66.42 0.31 0.48 2.46
No_terms Turncoat Assets criminal_cases criminal_cases_no age bjp
0.98 0.03 116085202 0.31 2.04 55.09 0.31
1.44 0.05 342617723 0.30 1.50 51.82 0.25

Regressions

Dependent variable:
vote.share.pc turnout winner
OLS OLS probit
(1) (2) (3)
bjp 12.976*** -0.241 1.484***
(0.854) (0.411) (0.101)
incumbent 4.019*** 0.0001 -0.127
(1.051) (0.504) (0.121)
sexM -0.367 0.802 -0.161
(1.096) (0.526) (0.128)
terms 3.262*** 0.127 0.625***
(0.332) (0.159) (0.048)
dynast 3.237*** 0.246 -0.166
(1.026) (0.492) (0.123)
assets 0.000 -0.000 0.000**
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
serious.case -0.455 0.505 -0.244**
(0.927) (0.446) (0.115)
age -0.025 -0.032* -0.023***
(0.034) (0.016) (0.004)
enop -0.938*
(0.537)
reservationSC/ST 1.727***
(0.471)
dynast:serious.case 0.587 -1.343 0.405*
(1.731) (0.830) (0.208)
State fixed effects Yes Yes Yes
Observations 1,348 1,348 1,348
R2 0.425 0.679
Adjusted R2 0.404 0.667
Akaike Inf. Crit. 1,233.297
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

GE 5 percent

India

Summaries

All
Summary of GE 5% data
stat winner incumbent turncoat female terms dynast assets (millions) serious_crime education age reservation_SCST caste_UC_IC
Length 4467.00 4467.00 4467.00 4467.00 4467.00 4467.00 4467.00 4467.00 4467.00 4467.00 4467.00 4467.00
Unique-N 2.00 3.00 3.00 2.00 11.00 2.00 4372.00 2.00 7.00 64.00 2.00 2.00
Mean 0.36 0.23 0.07 0.11 1.09 0.28 102.34 0.23 13.58 53.22 0.24 0.28
SD 0.48 NA NA 0.31 NA 0.45 NA 0.42 2.97 NA 0.43 0.45
Min 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00
Max 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 9.00 1.00 1657.94 1.00 18.00 93.00 1.00 1.00
Dynasts
Summary of GE 5% data - Families
stat dynast winner incumbent turncoat female terms assets serious_crime education age reservation_SCST caste_UC_IC
Length Family 1282.00 1282.00 1282.00 1282.00 1282.0 1282.00 1282.00 1282.00 1282.00 1282.00 1282.00
Unique-N Family 2.00 3.00 3.00 2.00 11.0 1222.00 2.00 7.00 60.00 2.00 2.00
Mean Family 0.43 0.32 0.09 0.21 1.4 159.68 0.25 13.69 51.03 0.19 0.38
SD Family 0.50 NA NA 0.40 NA NA 0.43 2.64 12.15 0.39 0.49
Min Family 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.06 0.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00
Max Family 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 9.0 1657.94 1.00 18.00 86.00 1.00 1.00
Summary of GE 5% data - Non-families
stat dynast winner incumbent turncoat female terms assets serious_crime education age reservation_SCST caste_UC_IC
Length Non-fam 3385.00 3385.0 3385.00 3385.00 3385.00 3385.00 3385.00 3385.00 3385.00 3385.00 3385.00
Unique-N Non-fam 2.00 3.0 3.00 2.00 11.00 3283.00 2.00 7.00 63.00 2.00 2.00
Mean Non-fam 0.33 0.2 0.06 0.07 0.96 77.33 0.21 13.44 53.66 0.26 0.23
SD Non-fam 0.47 NA NA 0.26 NA NA 0.41 3.14 NA 0.44 0.42
Min Non-fam 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00
Max Non-fam 1.00 1.0 1.00 1.00 9.00 1657.94 1.00 18.00 93.00 1.00 1.00
5PC v/s rest
Varibale 5+ <5
count 4398.00 18994.00
vote_share_percentage 32.52 0.54
incumbent 0.23 0.00
turncoat 0.07 0.02
female 0.11 0.07
no_terms 1.05 0.01
assets_million 132.45 14.45
liabilities_million 20.23 1.06
serious_crime 0.80 0.22
non_serious_crime 1.78 0.42
edu 13.50 11.33
age 52.93 45.22
AC summary
Year % of PCs in dynast contested % of PCs in dynast won % of PCs in a serious criminal contested % of PCs in PC average assets is higher than the state median
2009 0.53 0.32 0.41 0.66
2014 0.56 0.31 0.46 0.69
2019 0.60 0.34 0.56 0.68

Other stats

retention
GE Pan India 09:19
Position non-fam renomination fam renomination
1 0.45 0.53
2 0.35 0.48
3+ 0.21 0.34
serious crime
GE Pan India 09:19
Position non-criminal renomination criminal renomination
1 0.46 0.52
2 0.38 0.40
3+ 0.23 0.26

Winner

fit_year fit_state fit_ac fit_party
Dependent Var.: winner winner winner winner
dynast 0.1051 (0.0647) 0.1292* (0.0646) 0.1776* (0.0862) 0.0108 (0.0932)
incumbentTRUE -0.3880* (0.1517) -0.4002** (0.1457) -0.5907*** (0.1669) -0.5681*** (0.1593)
turncoatTRUE -0.3709* (0.1466) -0.3174* (0.1566) -0.3860* (0.1908) -0.3953* (0.1812)
terms 0.5484*** (0.0696) 0.5642*** (0.0673) 0.7224*** (0.0790) 0.7243*** (0.0753)
log(assets) 0.0434* (0.0184) 0.0544** (0.0195) 0.0678** (0.0253) 0.0450 (0.0278)
serious_crime -0.1288** (0.0478) -0.0800. (0.0458) -0.1046 (0.0671) -0.0965 (0.0705)
education -0.0039 (0.0072) -0.0044 (0.0074) -0.0063 (0.0102) -0.0058 (0.0122)
age -0.0190*** (0.0018) -0.0209*** (0.0016) -0.0264*** (0.0027) -0.0264*** (0.0024)
female 0.0571 (0.0749) 0.0560 (0.0720) 0.0876 (0.0847) 0.0942 (0.0830)
inc -0.1816 (0.1327) -0.1637 (0.1554) -0.1647 (0.1735)
bjp 0.7548*** (0.1856) 0.8393*** (0.2066) 0.9256*** (0.2307)
Fixed-Effects: ——————- ——————- ——————- ——————-
year Yes Yes Yes Yes
state No Yes Yes Yes
constituency_id No No Yes Yes
_______________ ___________________ ___________________ ___________________ ___________________
S.E.: Clustered by: state & cons. by: state & cons. by: state & cons. by: state & cons.
Convergence TRUE TRUE TRUE FALSE
Observations 4,629 4,629 4,629 4,629
Squared Cor. 0.32042 0.33087 0.37664 0.32718
Pseudo R2 0.24751 0.26007 0.30801 0.25199
BIC 4,666.4 4,885.9 9,170.7 9,492.4

Vote share

Vote share - India
Dependent variable:
vote_share_pc
(1) (2) (3)
dynast 1.544*** 2.460*** 2.964***
(0.476) (0.677) (0.794)
incumbent 1.332** 1.133 0.088
(0.580) (0.964) (1.065)
turncoat -3.258*** -2.158*** -2.333***
(0.780) (0.581) (0.722)
terms 3.869*** 3.866*** 4.367***
(0.174) (0.373) (0.419)
log(assets) 0.794*** 0.860*** 0.919***
(0.115) (0.226) (0.257)
serious_crime -1.572*** -0.297 -0.327
(0.484) (0.486) (0.534)
education -0.047 0.022 0.038
(0.067) (0.067) (0.082)
age -0.104*** -0.113*** -0.120***
(0.019) (0.025) (0.032)
female 0.366 0.126 0.071
(0.657) (0.661) (0.684)
inc 1.544*** -0.557 -0.927
(0.497) (2.065) (1.981)
bjp 8.700*** 7.510*** 6.949**
(0.493) (2.663) (2.710)
Fixed effects Year Year + State Year + State + Constiuency
SE Clustered None State Constituency+ State
Observations 4,629 4,629 4,629
R2 0.280 0.343 0.408
Adjusted R2 0.278 0.337 0.322
Residual Std. Error 13.387 (df = 4615) 12.828 (df = 4580) 12.971 (df = 4038)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

states

Pan India stats
pos 2009 2014 2019
1 0.34 0.31 0.34
2 0.24 0.27 0.37
3+ 0.17 0.20 0.19
Dynasts among winners and runner-ups
year prop
2009 0.29
2014 0.29
2019 0.35
States - all positions

States - winners

turnout

dynast winner
turnout
Dependent variable:
turnout
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
dynast_winner -1.403 -1.355 -0.373 -0.158 -0.307
(0.995) (0.956) (0.556) (0.547) (0.329)
reservation_SCST 1.074 0.828 0.736 0.548 6.210
(1.074) (1.031) (0.797) (0.742) (3.715)
margin_percentage -0.181*** -0.234*** -0.017 -0.072** 0.016
(0.065) (0.059) (0.036) (0.029) (0.030)
enop -5.337*** -4.139*** -3.955*** -2.345*** -2.357***
(1.223) (1.337) (0.517) (0.655) (0.754)
criminal_1_2 -0.304 -1.358 1.176** 0.261 -0.242
(1.462) (1.432) (0.478) (0.360) (0.214)
Constant 83.126***
(4.827)
Fixed effects Year State Year and State State, Year and Constituency
Clustered SE State State State State State
Observations 1,620 1,620 1,620 1,620 1,620
R2 0.088 0.173 0.629 0.710 0.922
Adjusted R2 0.085 0.169 0.620 0.703 0.882
Residual Std. Error 11.800 (df = 1614) 11.241 (df = 1612) 7.603 (df = 1579) 6.727 (df = 1577) 4.241 (df = 1070)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01
lagged turnout
lagged turnout
Dependent variable:
turnout
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
dynast_winner 0.517 0.581 -0.397 -0.206 -0.485
(0.619) (0.546) (0.329) (0.256) (0.535)
reservation_SCST -1.088** -1.194** -0.660* -0.710** 6.413***
(0.482) (0.466) (0.350) (0.333) (1.731)
margin_percentage 0.041 -0.032 0.064** -0.013 0.011
(0.037) (0.029) (0.030) (0.020) (0.031)
enop -0.595 -0.468 -1.264*** -0.970* -2.330**
(0.649) (0.584) (0.363) (0.515) (0.933)
criminal_1_2 0.754 0.232 0.511** 0.105 0.036
(0.511) (0.474) (0.250) (0.232) (0.311)
lagged_turnout 1.099*** 1.076*** 0.884*** 0.823*** 0.129
(0.052) (0.053) (0.048) (0.049) (0.112)
Constant -10.213**
(4.937)
Fixed effects Year State Year and State State, Year and Constituency
Clustered SE State State State State State
Observations 1,069 1,069 1,069 1,069 1,069
R2 0.776 0.836 0.851 0.908 0.953
Adjusted R2 0.775 0.835 0.845 0.904 0.903
Residual Std. Error 6.144 (df = 1062) 5.253 (df = 1061) 5.104 (df = 1027) 4.004 (df = 1026) 4.031 (df = 520)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01
dynast 1& 2
turnout
Dependent variable:
turnout
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
dynast_1_2 -2.046 -2.655** 0.764 0.238 0.012
(1.305) (1.159) (0.643) (0.665) (0.347)
reservation_SCST 0.921 0.598 0.846 0.585 6.206
(1.088) (1.036) (0.795) (0.735) (3.728)
margin_percentage -0.179*** -0.234*** -0.015 -0.071** 0.017
(0.064) (0.058) (0.037) (0.029) (0.030)
enop -5.177*** -3.869*** -3.908*** -2.334*** -2.330***
(1.154) (1.240) (0.511) (0.656) (0.750)
criminal_1_2 -0.181 -1.232 1.141** 0.254 -0.259
(1.440) (1.402) (0.481) (0.366) (0.215)
Constant 83.322***
(4.921)
Fixed effects Year State Year and State State, Year and Constituency
Clustered SE State State State State State
Observations 1,620 1,620 1,620 1,620 1,620
R2 0.092 0.182 0.630 0.710 0.922
Adjusted R2 0.089 0.178 0.621 0.703 0.882
Residual Std. Error 11.774 (df = 1614) 11.184 (df = 1612) 7.597 (df = 1579) 6.726 (df = 1577) 4.242 (df = 1070)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01
lagged turnout
lagged turnout
Dependent variable:
turnout
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
dynast_1_2 0.736 0.344 0.783*** 0.461 0.165
(0.474) (0.439) (0.203) (0.288) (0.557)
reservation_SCST -1.019** -1.179** -0.513 -0.625* 6.420***
(0.493) (0.475) (0.349) (0.333) (1.764)
margin_percentage 0.041 -0.033 0.068** -0.011 0.014
(0.038) (0.029) (0.030) (0.020) (0.031)
enop -0.663 -0.514 -1.223*** -0.950* -2.305**
(0.639) (0.580) (0.349) (0.524) (0.946)
criminal_1_2 0.731 0.238 0.493** 0.096 0.023
(0.513) (0.482) (0.240) (0.230) (0.310)
lagged_turnout 1.102*** 1.076*** 0.884*** 0.823*** 0.124
(0.052) (0.053) (0.046) (0.049) (0.112)
Constant -10.441**
(4.890)
Fixed effects Year State Year and State State, Year and Constituency
Clustered SE State State State State State
Observations 1,069 1,069 1,069 1,069 1,069
R2 0.776 0.836 0.851 0.908 0.953
Adjusted R2 0.775 0.835 0.845 0.905 0.903
Residual Std. Error 6.138 (df = 1062) 5.257 (df = 1061) 5.095 (df = 1027) 4.000 (df = 1026) 4.035 (df = 520)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01
dynast contestant
turnout
Dependent variable:
turnout
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
dynast_cand -1.807 -2.354* 0.948 0.453 0.290
(1.409) (1.312) (0.677) (0.666) (0.324)
reservation_SCST 0.939 0.623 0.871 0.612 6.199
(1.094) (1.042) (0.780) (0.727) (3.719)
margin_percentage -0.178*** -0.233*** -0.015 -0.071** 0.017
(0.063) (0.057) (0.037) (0.029) (0.030)
enop -5.157*** -3.865*** -3.922*** -2.343*** -2.334***
(1.150) (1.241) (0.513) (0.658) (0.747)
criminal_1_2 -0.193 -1.230 1.129** 0.245 -0.275
(1.433) (1.390) (0.484) (0.369) (0.211)
Constant 83.161***
(4.868)
Fixed effects Year State Year and State State, Year and Constituency
Clustered SE State State State State State
Observations 1,620 1,620 1,620 1,620 1,620
R2 0.090 0.179 0.630 0.711 0.922
Adjusted R2 0.087 0.176 0.621 0.703 0.882
Residual Std. Error 11.784 (df = 1614) 11.200 (df = 1612) 7.593 (df = 1579) 6.724 (df = 1577) 4.241 (df = 1070)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01
lagged turnout
lagged turnout
Dependent variable:
turnout
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
dynast_1_2 0.736 0.344 0.783*** 0.461 0.165
(0.474) (0.439) (0.203) (0.288) (0.557)
reservation_SCST -1.019** -1.179** -0.513 -0.625* 6.420***
(0.493) (0.475) (0.349) (0.333) (1.764)
margin_percentage 0.041 -0.033 0.068** -0.011 0.014
(0.038) (0.029) (0.030) (0.020) (0.031)
enop -0.663 -0.514 -1.223*** -0.950* -2.305**
(0.639) (0.580) (0.349) (0.524) (0.946)
criminal_1_2 0.731 0.238 0.493** 0.096 0.023
(0.513) (0.482) (0.240) (0.230) (0.310)
lagged_turnout 1.102*** 1.076*** 0.884*** 0.823*** 0.124
(0.052) (0.053) (0.046) (0.049) (0.112)
Constant -10.441**
(4.890)
Fixed effects Year State Year and State State, Year and Constituency
Clustered SE State State State State State
Observations 1,069 1,069 1,069 1,069 1,069
R2 0.776 0.836 0.851 0.908 0.953
Adjusted R2 0.775 0.835 0.845 0.905 0.903
Residual Std. Error 6.138 (df = 1062) 5.257 (df = 1061) 5.095 (df = 1027) 4.000 (df = 1026) 4.035 (df = 520)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

Margin

Margin
Dependent variable:
margin_percentage
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
dynast_1_2 -0.010 -0.520 -0.455 -0.539 -0.342
(0.720) (0.735) (0.477) (0.498) (0.693)
reservation_SCST -1.874*** -1.833*** -2.067*** -1.963*** -0.568
(0.577) (0.562) (0.524) (0.502) (1.330)
turnout -0.141*** -0.204*** 0.003 -0.138** 0.165
(0.047) (0.035) (0.066) (0.060) (0.161)
enop -6.685*** -5.918*** -7.030*** -6.529*** -4.888***
(0.742) (0.728) (0.773) (0.653) (0.711)
Constant 42.485***
(2.872)
Fixed effects Year State Year and State State, Year and constituency
Clustered SE State State State State State
Observations 1,586 1,586 1,586 1,586 1,586
R2 0.176 0.232 0.302 0.337 0.573
Adjusted R2 0.174 0.229 0.285 0.319 0.347
Residual Std. Error 10.138 (df = 1581) 9.792 (df = 1579) 9.435 (df = 1546) 9.204 (df = 1544) 9.011 (df = 1037)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01
lagged margin
margin percentage lagged
Dependent variable:
margin_percentage
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
dynast_1_2 0.679 0.280 -0.505 -0.510 -2.024**
(0.919) (0.877) (0.448) (0.485) (0.829)
reservation_SCST -0.519 -0.533 -1.195*** -1.136** 4.444**
(0.506) (0.518) (0.437) (0.449) (1.704)
turnout -0.046 -0.117** 0.065 -0.105* 0.145
(0.051) (0.047) (0.066) (0.055) (0.166)
enop -3.930*** -3.903*** -5.837*** -5.794*** -4.940***
(0.826) (0.760) (1.140) (1.083) (1.254)
lagged_margin 0.246*** 0.198*** 0.171*** 0.133*** -0.261***
(0.048) (0.047) (0.045) (0.048) (0.057)
Constant 22.773***
(5.417)
Fixed effects Year State Year and State State, Year and constituency
Clustered SE State State State State State
Observations 1,109 1,109 1,109 1,109 1,109
R2 0.186 0.250 0.329 0.371 0.702
Adjusted R2 0.183 0.246 0.304 0.347 0.419
Residual Std. Error 9.093 (df = 1103) 8.733 (df = 1102) 8.392 (df = 1068) 8.128 (df = 1067) 7.666 (df = 568)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01

misc. models

Dependent variable:
dynast_winner uc_ic_winner incumbent_winner asset_winner ser_crime_winner
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
margin_percentage -0.004*** -0.005*** -0.004*** -0.003*** -0.002***
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.0004)
reservation_SCST 0.053 0.073* 0.056 -0.096 -0.035
(0.053) (0.040) (0.058) (0.063) (0.060)
turnout 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.0003 0.0002
(0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.001)
enop -0.069*** -0.072*** -0.064*** -0.053*** -0.051***
(0.010) (0.010) (0.011) (0.008) (0.009)
Fixed effects State+Year+constituency-id State+Year+constituency-id State+Year+constituency-id State+Year+constituency-id State+Year+constituency-id
Observations 4,667 4,667 4,666 4,665 4,667
R2 0.190 0.234 0.136 0.187 0.156
Adjusted R2 0.075 0.124 0.013 0.071 0.036
Residual Std. Error 0.310 (df = 4083) 0.330 (df = 4083) 0.330 (df = 4082) 0.289 (df = 4081) 0.252 (df = 4083)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01
Clustered SE Constituency Constituency Constituency Constituency Constituency

UP

Summaries

All
Summary of GE 5% data
name Length Unique-N Mean SD Min Max
winner 787 2 0.31 0.46 0.00 1
incumbent 787 2 0.22 0.42 0.00 1
turncoat 787 2 0.11 0.31 0.00 1
female 787 2 0.12 0.33 0.00 1
terms 787 9 1.02 1.43 0.00 8
dynast 787 2 0.38 0.49 0.00 1
assets 787 775 95225170.04 NA 63156.66 1657942698
serious_crime 787 2 0.34 0.47 0.00 1
education 787 7 13.56 3.35 0.00 18
age 787 59 51.79 NA 25.00 86
reservation_SCST 787 2 0.20 0.40 0.00 1
caste_UC_IC 787 2 0.34 0.48 0.00 1
Dynasts
Summary of GE 5% data
name Length_Non-fam Length_Family Unique-N_Non-fam Unique-N_Family Mean_Non-fam Mean_Family SD_Non-fam SD_Family Min_Non-fam Min_Family Max_Non-fam Max_Family
winner 488 299 2 2 0.28 0.36 0.45 0.48 0 0.00 1 1
incumbent 488 299 2 2 0.18 0.29 0.38 0.45 0 0.00 1 1
turncoat 488 299 2 2 0.10 0.11 0.31 0.32 0 0.00 1 1
female 488 299 2 2 0.07 0.21 0.25 0.41 0 0.00 1 1
terms 488 299 9 9 0.87 1.28 1.29 1.60 0 0.00 8 8
assets 488 299 486 290 74537283.05 129103320.53 183895836.60 NA 85584 63156.66 1657942698 1657942698
serious_crime 488 299 2 2 0.33 0.35 0.47 0.48 0 0.00 1 1
education 488 299 7 7 13.50 13.66 3.46 3.16 0 0.00 18 18
age 488 299 52 57 52.30 50.96 NA 12.13 25 25.00 80 86
reservation_SCST 488 299 2 2 0.24 0.14 0.43 0.35 0 0.00 1 1
caste_UC_IC 488 299 2 2 0.29 0.43 0.46 0.50 0 0.00 1 1
5PC v/s rest
Varibale 5+ <5
count 4398.00 18994.00
vote_share_percentage 28.09 0.49
incumbent 0.22 0.00
turncoat 0.11 0.02
female 0.12 0.08
no_terms 0.96 0.01
assets_million 106.39 10.29
liabilities_million 11.69 0.93
serious_crime 1.34 0.27
non_serious_crime 2.29 0.38
edu 13.49 11.34
age 51.88 44.59
AC summary
Year % of PCs in dynast contested % of PCs in dynast won % of PCs in a serious criminal contested % of PCs in PC average assets is higher than the state median
2009 0.80 0.46 0.70 0.65
2014 0.79 0.39 0.74 0.72
2019 0.76 0.44 0.76 0.69

Winner

fit_year fit_ac
Dependent Var.: winner winner
dynast 0.1129 (0.1268) 0.1694 (0.1721)
incumbentTRUE -0.6253** (0.2189) -0.7869** (0.2461)
turncoatTRUE 0.0262 (0.1743) 0.0805 (0.2104)
terms 0.6239*** (0.0970) 0.8013*** (0.1309)
log(assets) -0.0158 (0.0380) -0.0395 (0.0587)
serious_crime -0.1519 (0.1068) -0.2733* (0.1347)
education 0.0048 (0.0187) 0.0054 (0.0252)
age -0.0194*** (0.0053) -0.0300*** (0.0073)
female 0.0921 (0.1665) 0.0548 (0.2112)
inc -0.1815 (0.2064) -0.1667 (0.2604)
bjp 1.095*** (0.1600) 1.123*** (0.1775)
Fixed-Effects: ——————- ——————-
year Yes Yes
constituency_id No Yes
_______________ ___________________ ___________________
S.E.: Clustered by: constituency by: constituency
Observations 785 785
Squared Cor. 0.38190 0.42979
Pseudo R2 0.33252 0.38059
BIC 741.72 1,221.6

Vote share

Vote share - UP
Dependent variable:
vote_share_pc
(1) (2)
dynast 1.687* 2.282**
(0.874) (1.025)
incumbent 1.565 1.050
(1.194) (1.225)
turncoat -1.206 -0.753
(1.313) (1.519)
terms 3.150*** 3.511***
(0.377) (0.431)
log(assets) 0.047 -0.172
(0.295) (0.295)
serious_crime -0.514 -0.281
(0.877) (0.894)
education 0.002 0.041
(0.122) (0.160)
age -0.050 -0.065
(0.040) (0.051)
female 1.286 0.690
(1.281) (1.634)
inc -9.700*** -9.108***
(1.172) (1.530)
bjp 7.868*** 7.320***
(0.985) (1.171)
Fixed effects Year Year + Constiuency
SE Clustered None Constituency
Observations 785 785
R2 0.454 0.504
Adjusted R2 0.445 0.438
Residual Std. Error 11.192 (df = 771) 11.263 (df = 692)
Note: p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01